Study: EV Sales Growth Lags Behind Available Inventory

Study: EV Sales Growth Lags Behind Available Inventory

A Cloud Theory study dives into EV market trends, Tesla's dominance and the challenges facing automakers.

Automakers have increased electric vehicle (EV) production, but sales haven’t kept pace, causing the time it takes to sell an EV, or “days-to-move,” to more than double, according to a study from Cloud Theory, an analytics platform for the autromotive industry. In the study conducted by Rick Wainschel, vice president of data science and analytics, the organization found that Tesla remains the market leader in EVs, while the second top spot is still open for competition.

“The Biden administration has set a goal for EVs to make up 67% of the market by 2032, a significant challenge for the auto sector,” said Wainschel. “Though EV sales are growing, they’re not matching the rate of EV inventory growth. In early 2023, the average EV was sold after 36 days on the dealer’s lot. By September 2023, this had risen to 80 days.”

Data from Cloud Theory indicates that while the EV inventory grew from 3% in January 2023 to 6% in September 2023, sales only increased from 3% to 4% of the vehicle market share during the same period.

Furthermore, a survey from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research revealed that just 19% of U.S. adults are very likely to purchase an EV for their next vehicle, with 47% unlikely to do so.

To meet the ambitious 2032 targets, the auto industry faces challenges such as:

  • Enhancing battery capacity for longer driving range;
  • Expanding infrastructure for convenient and quick recharging;
  • Standardizing charging equipment suitable for all vehicles;
  • Addressing consumers’ hesitations through effective marketing strategies;
  • Counteracting opposition from established industries like oil and facilitating the growth of alternative industries.

While both BMW and Mercedes have EVs constituting over 12% of their total 2023 sales (through September), they trail in volume with BMW selling 28,635 EVs and Mercedes at 26,319. In comparison, GM and Ford’s 2023 sales reached 34,938 and 36,008 units respectively, but EVs only represent 2.2% and 3.4% of their overall sales.

The Hyundai Motor Group, with six EVs having inventory levels above 1,000 in 2023, sold 51,640 vehicles (4.7% of the total), second only to Tesla.

Wainschel added, “Achieving the goal of the majority of new vehicles being EVs in less than a decade will demand unforeseeable technological advancements and unpredictable competitive dynamics.”

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AC - Alternating Current: The type of electrical current that periodically reverses direction.ALM – Accessory Load Management: A smart-charging feature designed for an older home that can’t handle all the electrical loads being powered such as range, air conditioner or dryer, in addition to an EV. This utilizes an amperage device installed on the circuit box that monitors the demand and will prevent overloading from occurring when trying to charge an EV.BEV - Battery Electric Vehicle: A type of electric vehicle that is powered solely by a battery, without any internal combustion engine.BMS - Battery Management System: A system that manages the charging and discharging of batteries to ensure safe and efficient operation.CAN - Controller Area Network: A vehicle bus standard designed to allow microcontrollers and devices to communicate with each other.CCS - Combined Charging System: A type of fast-charging system for electric vehicles that combines AC and DC charging in one connector.CHAdeMO - A DC fast-charging standard developed in Japan.DC - Direct Current: The type of electrical current that flows in one direction.DLB – Dynamic Load Balancing: Where multiple charging stations are located, a way that level 2 and 3 chargers can be set up to dispense the available voltage. The term First Come First Served is used when setting up a string of EVSE that is set to DLB parameters. This means the first vehicle to attach to a charger will receive the highest output that the charger can deliver and that the vehicle will take. The other vehicles that plug into subsequent chargers will share the remaining power output available from the site. As vehicles pull away from the charging lanes, the power outputs will be recalibrated accordingly.DoD - Depth of Discharge: The percentage of the battery capacity that has been used.DoE - Department of Energy (United States): A federal department responsible for energy policy and research in the United States.EMV - Electromagnetic Compatibility: The ability of electronic devices to operate without interfering with each other.EVSE - Electric Vehicle Supply Equipment: The equipment used to charge electric vehicles.FCV - Fuel Cell Vehicle: A type of electric vehicle that uses a fuel cell to generate electricity, instead of a battery.HEV - Hybrid Electric Vehicle: A type of vehicle that combines an internal combustion engine and an electric motor.IEC - International Electrotechnical Commission: An international organization that develops and publishes standards for electrical technologies.ISO15118 - SAE protocol which allows vehicles to be bi-directional with chargers. This is needed support for V2x to operate.J1772 - SAE J1772: A North American standard for electric vehicle charging connectors.kWh - Kilowatt Hour: A unit of energy equal to one kilowatt of power used for one hour.kW - Kilowatt: A unit of power equal to 1,000 watts.kWp - Kilowatt peak: A measure of the maximum output of a solar panel or another energy-generating system under ideal conditions.LiFePO4 - Lithium Iron Phosphate: A type of lithium-ion battery chemistry that is known for its safety and long cycle life.Li-ion - Lithium Ion: A type of rechargeable battery that is commonly used in electric vehicles.L1 - Level 1 Charging: A type of electric vehicle charging that uses a standard household outlet and provides a slow charge.L2 - Level 2 Charging: A type of electric vehicle charging that uses a higher voltage outlet and provides a faster charge than Level 1.L3 - Level 3 Charging: A type of fast charging system for electric vehicles that provides an even faster charge than Level 2.NCA - Nickel Cobalt Aluminum: A type of lithium-ion battery chemistry that is known for its high-energy density.NMC - Nickel Manganese Cobalt: A type of lithium-ion battery chemistry that is known for its high-power density and long cycle life.NiMH - Nickel Metal Hydride: A type of rechargeable battery that is commonly used in hybrid electric vehicles.OCPP - Open Charge Point Protocol: A communication protocol used by electric vehicle charging stations to communicate with central management systems.OCV - Open Circuit Voltage: The voltage of a battery when it is not connected to a load or a charging source.PHEV - Plug-in Hybrid Electric Vehicle: A type of hybrid electric vehicle that can be charged from an external power source, and has a larger battery than a traditional hybrid electric vehicle.PID - Proportional Integral Derivative: A type of control algorithm used in charging systems to regulate the voltage and current.RFID - Radio Frequency Identification: A technology used in electric vehicle charging systems to identify and authenticate users.SAE - Society of Automotive Engineers: An international professional organization that develops and publishes standards for the automotive industry.SAEJ2595 - A protocol allowing for wireless charging up to 11 KW.SOC - State of Charge: The percentage of the battery capacity that is currently available for use.SOH - State of Health: A measure of the overall health and performance of a battery.V2G - Vehicle-to-Grid: A technology that allows electric vehicles to feed energy back into the grid when they are not being used, providing a source of energy storage and backup power.V2H - Vehicle-to-Home: A technology that allows electric vehicles to be used as a backup power source for homes and buildings.V2X - Vehicle-to-Everything: A term used to describe the integration of electric vehicles into the broader energy system, including the grid, homes and other buildings.W - Watt: A unit of power equal to one joule per second.ZEVA - Zero Emissions Vehicle Association: A trade association that represents companies in the electric vehicle industry.

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